The hard truth about prediction markets: most retail traders lose money on weather. The reason isn't bad luck — it's information asymmetry. By the time a forecast reaches your phone, professional desks have already moved the odds.
Speed kills your edge. Polymarket weather markets reprice every few seconds. A single ECMWF run dropped at 09:00 UTC moves liquidity within minutes, not hours. You're not slow because you're new — you're slow because the data pipeline you rely on (consumer weather apps) is fundamentally downstream.
The fix isn't trading harder. It's trading the same data the pros see, at the same latency. That's what this bot does: pull raw model output from NOAA, ECMWF, ICON and HRRR the moment each run is public, score the edge against the live order book, and place the bet before the market catches up.
