Latest articles
5 articles
Strategy
Weather Forecasts as Polymarket Mispricings
Slow forecast updates leave Polymarket weather odds mispriced. How an ensemble of weather models turns that lag into a measurable trading edge.
Data
Reading the Major Weather Models for Polymarket
A practical guide to GFS, ECMWF and ICON: what each weather model is good at, where they disagree, and how that disagreement moves Polymarket odds.
Market
The 9 PM Polymarket Weather Pricing Window
Why Polymarket weather markets turn inefficient around the 9 PM UTC resolution window, and how slow forecast updates open the trading edge.
Tutorial
Where WinWeatherBot Works: Supported Regions
WinWeatherBot is a layer on your own Polymarket access. Where Polymarket is available to you, the bot works — how the geo-compliance layer applies.
Strategy
Bankroll Sizing for Multi-City Weather Trading
Correlated cities aren't separate bets. How correlation-aware, Kelly-based sizing protects your bankroll across multiple Polymarket weather markets.